Limits to the quantification of local climate change
Sandra C Chapman, David A Stainforth and Nicholas W Watkins. (2015). In: Environmental Research Letters. 10.
Topic: Climate science, uncertainty and risk
Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
Hawkins, Ed, Smith, Robin S., Gregory, Jonathan M. and Stainforth, David A. (2015) . In: Climate Dynamics . ISSN 0930-7575
Beliefs, politics, and environmental policy
This paper explores the relationship between beliefs and policy choices in relation to environmental regulation. read more »
Should climate policy account for ambiguity?
Climate change is fundamentally an `out-of-sample’ problem – our available information does not tightly constrain predictions of the consequences of rapid increases in greenhouse gas concentrations. Moreover, the fact that … read more »
Ensuring climate information guides long-term development
Jones, L., Dougill, A.J., Jones, R., Steynor, A., Watkiss, P., Kane, C., Koelle, B., Moufouma-Okia, W., Padgham, J., Ranger, N., Roux, J-P., Suarez, P., Tanner, T., Vincent, K. (2015). Nature Climate Change, 5, 812-814.
Enhancing climate services for national planning in sub-Saharan Africa: lessons from Malawi
Vincent, K., Dougill, A.J., Dixon, J.L., Stringer, L.C., Cull, T. (2015). Climate Policy.
The role of flood insurance in reducing direct risk
Chapter in ‘Future Directions of Consumer Flood Insurance in the UK’, compendium published by Southampton Law School, University of Southampton. 2015.
Coping with climate risk: the role of institutions, governance and finance in private adaptation decisions of the poor
This paper looks at adaptation from the point of view of households. It asks how political and economic institutions may help or hinder adaptation decisions. read more »
Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
Daron JD; Lorenz S; Wolski P; Blamey RC; Jack C (2015). In: Climate Risk Management. [IN PRESS]. doi: 10.1016/j.crm.2015.06.007
Stochastic generation of synthetic minutely irradiance time series derived from mean hourly weather observation data
Bright JM, Smith CJ, Taylor PG, Crook R Stochastic. (2015). Solar Energy, vol. 115, pp.229-242. Highlights A sun obscured methodology to generate 1 min resolution irradiance is proposed. A novel approach to generating cloud cover is presented. The use of multiple Markov chains offers improvement to resource modelling. Diurnal okta number variability gives the largest transition […]