Operational seasonal forecasting centres employ simulation models to make probability forecasts of future conditions on seasonal to annual lead times. Skill in such forecasts is reflected … read more »
While state-of-the-art models of the Earth’s climate system have improved tremendously over the last twenty years, nontrivial structural flaws still hinder their ability to forecast the … read more »
Andrew David Thomas, Andrew J Dougill, David R Elliott, Helen Mairs (2014) Geoderma. 219-220, pp72-81.
The last two decades have witnessed an explosion in the publication of country indexes that measure and rank the relative national policy performances of governments. To illustrate the challenges … read more »
Review of Environmental Economics and Policy. Uncertainty is intrinsic to climate change: we know that the climate is changing but not precisely how fast or in what ways. read more »
Flooding is the largest natural disaster risk in England and it is expected to rise even further as we experience a changing climate and continue putting … read more »
Frigg, R., L.A. Smith, D. A. Stainforth. In: Philosophy of Science, December 2013.
Conventional benefit–cost analysis incorporates the normally reasonable assumption that the policy or project under examination is marginal. Among the assumptions this entails is that the policy or project is … read more »
Moss RH; Meehl GA; Lemos MC; Smith JB; Arnold JR; Arnott JC; Behar D; Brasseur GP; Broomell SB; Busalacchi AJ; Dessai S; Ebi KL; Edmonds JA; Furlow J; Goddard L; Hartmann HC; Hurrell JW; Katzenberger JW; Liverman DM; Mote PW; Moser SC; Kumar A; Pulwarty RS; Seyller EA; Turner II BL; Washington WM; Wilbanks TJ […]
Reference Surminski, S. October 2013. Private-sector adaptation to climate risk. Nature Climate Change, v.3, pp.943-945.
