End of Project Report – On Being a (Modern) Scientist: Risks of Public Engagement in the Interspecies Embryo Debate
Porter, J. (2012) , Wellcome Trust.
Topic: Climate science, uncertainty and risk
Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: Scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments
Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation planning in exposed … read more »
Is it possible to limit global warming to no more than 1.5°C?
Ranger, N., Gohar, L.K., Lowe, J.A., Raper, S.C.B., Bowen, A. and Ward, R.E. 2012. In: ‘Climatic Change’, v.111, p.973-981
Climate Scenarios, Decision-Making and Uncertainty: Do Users Need What They Want?
Porter, J.; Dessai, S. and Tang, S. (2012) Policy and Practice Note 1, Project ICAD.
High impact, low probability? An empirical analysis of risk in the economics of climate change
To what extent does economic analysis of climate change depend on low-probability, high-impact events? This question has received a great deal of attention lately, with the contention increasingly made … read more »
Building effective and sustainable risk transfer initiatives in low- and middle-income economies: what can we learn from existing insurance schemes?
Negotiators for Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are exploring if and how risk transfer solutions could enhance adaptation efforts in those countries that are … read more »
Unawareness with ‘possible’ possible worlds
Logical structures for modelling agents’ reasoning about unawareness are presented where it can hold simultaneously that: agents’ beliefs about whether they are fully aware need not … read more »
Climate change. Is weather event attribution necessary for adaptation funding?
Hulme M; O’Neill SJ; Dessai S (2011). In: Science, 334, pp.764-765. doi: 10.1126/science.1211740
Measuring, modeling and mapping ecosystem services in the eastern arc mountains of Tanzania.
Fisher, B., Turner, R.K., Burgess, N.D., Swetnam, R.D., Green, J., Green, R.E., Kajembe, G., Kulindwa, K., Lewis, S., Marchant, R., Marshall, A.R., Madoffe, S., Munishi, P.K.T., Morse-Jones, S., Mwakalila, S., Paavola, J., Naidoo, R., Ricketts, T., Rouget, M., Willcock, S., White, S., Balmford, A. 2011. Progress in Physical Geography, v.35, pp.595-611.
A balance between radiative forcing and climate feedback in the modeled 20th century temperature response
Crook, J., and Forster, P.M. September 2011. Journal of Geophysical Research, v.116.